READ NOWH1 2026, State of Advisor Movement

Winthrop & Co.
Market Insights
GuideFiled September 18, 202610 min read

What Happens When Your Firm Raises the Payout Grid?

Morgan Stanley told its advisors this week that every revenue threshold on the payout grid moves up 10% for 2027, with the rates unchanged. If you are asking whether it reaches you, the answer is arithmetic: it reaches the advisor whose trailing revenue sits within about 10% above a band edge, and nobody else. What a grid stretch is, who it affects, what it costs at $1 million and $2 million, how to tell in five minutes, and what your options are, including the one most advisors choose, which is to stay.

Filed by Tyler Noe

GuidePayout Grid Thresholds Up 10% for 2027: Does It Affect You?

The short answer: A grid stretch raises the revenue needed to earn each payout rate and leaves the rates themselves alone. It reaches only the advisor whose trailing revenue sits within about 10% above a band threshold, and it costs that advisor the gap between two adjacent bands, on the order of $10,000 to $20,000 a year at $1 million of production, until the book grows through the new edge. Multiply your current band's threshold by 1.1 to find out in one calculation whether it reaches you.

Morgan Stanley told its financial advisors on Thursday, September 17 that every revenue threshold on the payout grid moves up 10% for 2027, and that the payout rates stay exactly where they were. If you are one of them, you have probably already asked the only question that matters: does this reach me?

The answer is arithmetic, and this piece does it. What a grid stretch is, who it affects and who it does not, what it costs at $1 million and $2 million of production, how to check your own band in five minutes, what it does and does not change about deferred pay and the retirement program, and what your options are, including the one most advisors take, which is to stay.

The 2027 change at a glance

What20262027
Revenue threshold for each payout bandas publishedup 10%, every band
Payout rates28% to 55.5%unchanged
A $1 million producer keeps44%44% only above the new threshold
A $2 million producer keeps48%48% only above the new threshold
Deferred share of pay0.75% to 7.75%, halved in 2026, vesting four to six yearsunchanged
Advisor Legacy Program bump in retirement15 points at 25+ years17 points at 30+ years
Small-household floor$300,000unchanged

Source: Morgan Stanley's memo to advisors on September 17, 2026, from Vince Lumia, head of wealth management client segments, first reported by AdvisorHub and covered by Financial Planning. The memo describes the 2027 updates as "designed to support the continued strength of our business while helping you maximize the full potential of your practice," and notes that gross revenue for the firm's advisors has risen 56% on average over three years while net new assets, which exclude market appreciation, have totaled $1.1 trillion.

What a grid stretch is

A payout grid is a ladder of revenue bands, each paying a higher percentage of what you produce. Sixteen bands from 28% to 55.5% is one common shape. Your rate is set by the band your trailing revenue falls in.

Grid creep is the term for what markets do to that ladder. Because the bands are fixed in dollars, appreciation alone can lift an advisor's revenue into a higher one without a single new household, and the firm's cost of compensation rises with it. Compensation consultants describe firms partially offsetting that drift every few years by raising the thresholds. Nobody fully offsets it, one of them told Financial Planning last year; they stretch the grid instead.

A stretch, then, is the firm resetting the ladder to the new revenue level. The payout percentages are printed exactly where they were. The revenue required to earn each one goes up. An advisor whose production has grown comfortably past the new edge clears it without noticing; an advisor sitting just above the old edge is the one who feels it. That distinction, rather than the size of the increase, is what decides who is affected.

Who it reaches, and who it does not

The stretch reaches exactly one kind of advisor: the one whose trailing revenue sits within about 10% above a band threshold. Everyone else keeps their rate.

  • Well inside a band: no change. If your band starts at $1.0 million and you produce $1.4 million, the threshold moving to $1.1 million never touches you.
  • Just above an edge: you drop one band in January. If your band starts at $1.0 million and you produce $1.05 million, you earn the rate of the band below until production passes $1.1 million.
  • Growing on new money: most of these advisors clear the new edges on their own by the time the year is measured, which is what the growth incentives are built to reward.
  • Growing on the market: this is who it reaches. Revenue that rose with asset values sits nearer the edges than revenue that rose with new households.

The last time Morgan Stanley stretched its grid, for 2024, trade coverage put the affected share at about a third of the sales force. There is no reason to expect 2027 to be very different.

What it costs

The cost is the gap between two adjacent bands, applied only to advisors who fall under a new edge. It is never 10% of anything.

Take an illustrative grid where the band starting at $1.0 million pays 44% and the band below pays 43%. Stretch the threshold to $1.1 million. An advisor producing $1.05 million drops to 43%: one point on $1.05 million, or $10,500 a year, until production grows through the new edge. Where adjacent bands differ by two points, double it. An advisor producing $1.4 million in the same band loses nothing.

That is why the same memo is a footnote for most of the sales force and a real number for a minority of it, and why the trade coverage summed it up as producing a bit more to keep the same pay. Both readings are true, for different advisors.

How to tell in five minutes

  1. Take your trailing-twelve revenue as the firm measures it for the grid.
  2. Find the threshold of the band you are in today, from the current plan.
  3. Multiply that threshold by 1.1. That is your band's new floor for 2027.
  4. If your revenue is above the new floor, the stretch does not reach you this year. If it is below, you drop one band in January, and the difference between the two rates times your revenue is the annual cost.
  5. Divide the gap between your revenue and the new floor by your revenue. That is the growth that closes it. For an advisor just above the old edge it is about 10%; for one halfway up the band, about 5%.

Do the same for the small-household floor and for any fee discounts, which are the two places revenue leaks that the firms are also tightening.

What it changes, and what it does not

The stretch does not touch deferred compensation. That was changed a year earlier, when the same firm cut the deferred share of pay in half to 0.75% to 7.75% and raised cash to match. Deferrals vest over four to six years, and unvested balances are canceled on resignation, which is the cost of leaving and a reason to think carefully before doing it.

The retirement program does change. The payout bump for advisors who retire through the Advisor Legacy Program goes from 15 points at 25 or more years to 17 points at 30 or more years, starting 2027. It is a larger bump at the 30-year mark and a longer runway to reach it, which matters most to the advisor who is 20 to 29 years in and had been planning around the earlier date. That is a modeling exercise worth doing now rather than at retirement.

The pattern across the wirehouses

This is periodic and industry-wide, which is worth seeing before drawing any conclusion about one firm.

Morgan Stanley has now stretched its thresholds three times since 2020: once that year, delayed to October by the pandemic; once for 2024, when its top band moved from $5.0 million to $5.5 million; and once for 2027. In between, its 2026 plan left the grid alone and halved the deferral.

Another wirehouse cut payout rates for advisors under $750,000 by as much as four points in 2025 and trimmed the $1 million to $2 million bands by about half a point, then restored that half point for 2026 after a year of departures.

A third has held its central structure, a monthly hurdle of $13,500 with 50% paid above it, unchanged for five straight years and added incentives on banking and next-generation accounts instead; its head described the 2026 changes as all carrots and no sticks.

A fourth doubled its small-household floor to $500,000 for 2026, with a reduced 20% rate on households between $250,000 and $500,000, while leaving its standard rates at 34% to 51%.

Put on one timeline, the pattern is plain:

Plan yearFirmWhat moved
2020Morgan StanleyThresholds up about 10%, implemented October 2020
2024Morgan StanleyThresholds up about 10%; top band $5.0M to $5.5M; households under $250K stop paying
2024J.P. MorganHurdles raised for advisors under $2 million; top rate 52%
2025Wells Fargo AdvisorsRevenue threshold for the higher payout tiers $300,000 to $330,000 for advisors with eight or more years; the two small-household tiers consolidated to a single 10% rate, with multigenerational households held at 30%
2025UBSRates cut up to four points under $750,000; $1M to $2M bands trimmed about half a point
2026UBSHalf a point restored for $1M to $3M; junior advisors given until year ten
2026Merrill LynchSmall-household floor doubled to $500,000; 20% rate on $250K to $500K
2026Morgan StanleyGrid unchanged; deferral halved to 0.75% to 7.75%
2026Wells Fargo AdvisorsHurdle unchanged a fifth year; banking and next-generation incentives added
2027Morgan StanleyEvery threshold up 10%; Legacy Program bump to 17 points at 30 years

Four firms, four instruments: the stretch, the cut and restore, the carrot, the household floor. Each is a bid for a particular kind of advisor, which is why a grid repays reading like a bidding sheet.

Your options, all four of them

Grow through it. The growth incentives the firms added in 2026, on net new assets, banking balances and next-generation households, pay on top of the grid and are the route the plan is designed to reward. For an advisor a few points under the new edge, this is the answer.

Stay and absorb it. For most advisors, the right answer. The firm carries the expenses, the brand and the platform, the deferred balance is real money, and a point on the grid is a smaller number than any of those. Most advisors who run the arithmetic stay, and they are right to.

Move to another employee firm. Recruiting packages between the wirehouses ran 300% to 400% and above of trailing revenue in the first half of 2026, one print reached 550% against a sixteen-year lock-up, and the grid on the other side will be stretched in its turn. What a transition deal is worth in 2026 sets out the shape.

Own the practice. Independent broker-dealer deals average about 125% of revenue, a nominal 90% payout nets in the low 70s after program fees at one large firm before office and staff, and the practice becomes an asset, priced at 11.6 times EBITDA at the 2025 median. For the production range the stretch most often reaches, how much a $1 million practice actually keeps runs that arithmetic end to end.

The three numbers

Whatever the option, a stretch should prompt three calculations: your distance to the nearest edge, your unvested deferred balance and its vesting dates, and what the open market pays for your production. Net to net, expenses to expenses, equity to equity. The memo does none of them for you, and the advisor who does them this year, with current figures, is in a stronger position whichever way they decide.

Staying can be the right answer. It should be an answer, not a default.

Advisors who want those numbers run on their own practice, confidentially, are welcome to request an introduction. Every conversation is held in strict confidence.

Sources (10)

Frequently asked

Does the 2027 grid change affect me?
Only if your trailing revenue sits within about 10% above one of the grid's band thresholds. The change moves every threshold up 10% and leaves the payout rates alone, so an advisor well inside a band keeps the same rate and an advisor just above the old edge drops to the band below in January. Take your trailing-twelve revenue, find the threshold of your current band, and multiply it by 1.1: if your revenue is above that number, the stretch does not reach you this year.
Who is affected by the 10% threshold increase announced this week?
The memo went to Morgan Stanley's financial advisors on Thursday, September 17, 2026, as reported by Financial Planning and AdvisorHub, and takes effect for 2027. Within that group it affects advisors near the top of their band, especially those whose revenue grew on market appreciation rather than new assets. The last time the firm stretched its thresholds, for 2024, trade coverage put the affected share at about a third of the sales force. Top producers and fast growers clear the new edges anyway.
Will my payout rate drop in 2027?
Your rate drops only if the new threshold for your band is above your trailing revenue. The rates themselves, 28% at the bottom to 55.5% at the top on this grid, are unchanged. This year a $1 million producer kept 44% and a $2 million producer kept 48%; next year the same revenue earns those rates only if it clears thresholds 10% higher.
How do I keep my payout rate after a grid stretch?
Grow trailing revenue past the new threshold, which for an advisor just above the old edge means roughly 10% more production, or roughly 5% if you sat halfway up the band. The growth incentives the firms added in 2026, on net new assets, banking balances and next-generation households, pay on top of the grid and are the intended route. Households below the small-household floor and fee discounts are the two places revenue leaks that the firms are also tightening.
What is grid creep?
Grid creep is the drift of advisors into higher payout bands driven by the appreciation of assets they already manage rather than by new clients or new money. Because the ladder is fixed in dollars, a rising market moves advisors up it. One firm reported this week that its advisors' gross revenue is up 56% on average over three years, alongside $1.1 trillion of net new assets, which excludes appreciation. Compensation consultants describe firms partially offsetting the drift every few years with a grid stretch; none fully offsets it.
What is a grid stretch?
A grid stretch raises the revenue threshold of each payout band while leaving the payout percentages unchanged. If the band paying 44% started at $1.0 million and now starts at $1.1 million, an advisor producing $1.05 million earns the rate of the band below until production grows through the new edge. It is a pay change that never appears in the rate table.
How much does a 10% threshold increase cost an advisor?
The gap between two adjacent bands, applied only to advisors who fall under a new edge. On a grid where adjacent bands differ by a point or two, an advisor at $1 million who drops one band loses $10,000 to $20,000 a year until production grows through the new threshold. An advisor comfortably inside a band loses nothing.
Does the grid change affect deferred compensation or the retirement program?
Not the deferral: that was changed a year earlier, when the same firm cut the deferred share of pay in half to 0.75% to 7.75% and raised cash to match, with deferrals vesting over four to six years and unvested balances canceled on resignation. The retirement program does change: the payout bump for advisors retiring through the Advisor Legacy Program goes from 15 points at 25 or more years to 17 points at 30 or more years, starting 2027. That is a larger bump at the 30-year mark and a longer runway to qualify, so an advisor between 20 and 29 years in should model both the old and the new terms against their own retirement date.
What are my options if my payout rate drops?
Four. Grow through the new threshold, which the growth incentives are designed to reward. Stay and absorb it, which is the right answer for most advisors once the firm's expenses, brand and platform are priced in. Move to another employee firm, where recruiting packages ran 300% to 400% of trailing revenue in the first half of 2026 with lock-ups measured in years, and where the grid will be stretched again. Or own the practice, where a nominal 90% payout nets in the low 70s after program fees at one large independent firm and the practice becomes an asset priced at 11.6 times EBITDA at the 2025 median. The decision is arithmetic, and it belongs to the advisor, not the memo.
Should I leave my firm because it raised the grid?
Not because of the stretch alone. Every major firm adjusts its plan each September, the firm carrying your expenses and your brand is worth real money, and the advisor who clears the new edge next year has simply been asked to grow. The stretch is a reason to run the three numbers this year with current figures. Plenty of advisors run them and decide, correctly, to stay.

Filed

September 18, 2026

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